U.S. wheat sales fall with the decline of buying spree

Analysts said government data showed on Thursday that the bout to buy wheat from countries suffering from unrest in North Africa and the Middle East has subsided after the Count of those countries had enough reserves to protect their food security. The report showed weekly U.S. Department of Agriculture on Thursday that export sales of wheat from the United States - the largest exporter of grain in the world - fell last week by 40 percent from the previous week after a two-week rise in sales was strongest in four months.
And reduced appetite procurement, which began when he was ousted Tunisian President Zine El Abidine Ben Ali in a popular uprising early last month, U.S. wheat prices rise to highest level in 30 months.
Egypt was the largest importer of wheat in the world is the largest buyer of U.S. wheat last week, but that the purchases were individually by buyers from the private sector. Did not put the Egyptian General Authority for Supply Commodities any international tender for wheat in nearly a month.
Vice Chairman of the Commission said last week that the Authority, which imports more than five million tonnes of wheat annually Tmalt reserves of wheat, enough for six months.
It is still unclear whether the Commission will seek to buy wheat from world markets after the shift pro-democracy demonstrations in the country to the events of this week's violence.
And countries in the region scrambled to procure food imports to calm the growing tensions over the rising prices of food such as rice and flour.
Said John Mkmbrig, grains analyst with Prudential Bache "seen Iqbal Algeria, Jordan and several other countries on the market to cover immediate needs. But once you meet those needs back to the buyer who has the sensitivity to price and which will not be a desire to chase prices higher."
The buying spree was the most Algeria purchased 800 thousand tons of wheat on 26 January in one of the largest purchases of wheat in the years Alajerpachtry the neighboring country of Tunisia to 1.75 million tonnes, at least in January. Algeria buys usually between five and six million tons per year. According to the latest data and U.S. Department of Agriculture, the net export sales in the week ended Jan. 27 all types of U.S. wheat 534 thousand and 100 tons of cargo until the month of May, down 40 percent from the previous week, sales for the same shipping time.
The data showed the Ministry of Agriculture, said that sales of U.S. wheat from the new crop of June onwards fell by 80 percent to 31 thousand and 300 tons.
Egypt has bought the largest importer of wheat in the world, 140 thousand and 200 tons in the last week, but other countries in North Africa and the Middle East were absent from the U.S. market

Nikkei rises with improved morale because of the merger in the steel sector

Nikkei index of Japanese shares on Friday, boosted by optimism about a recovery in the U.S. economy while raising the integration of the domestic steel industry morale amid hopes that the Japanese corporate sector will restructure and mergers. The Nippon Steel and Sumitomo Metal Industries after the close on Thursday they will merge next year to set up the second-largest steelmaker in the world after Arcelor Mittal in order to reduce costs and speed up expansion abroad.
The Nikkei index 1.1 percent or the equivalent of 112.23 points to 10543.59 points. And increased the broader TOPIX index by one percent to hit 936.57 points

Japanese opposition party threatens to block budget bills private

Threatened the second largest opposition party in Japan on Friday to block key bills to finance the budget for the fiscal year starting in April, increasing pressure on Prime Minister Naoto Kan, at a time when struggling to get out of the political crisis in the divided parliament. The Democratic Party could Japan's ruling the enactment of the budget year 2011/2012 amounting to 92.4 trillion yen (trillion dollars) thanks to its own majority in the House of Representatives, but the possibility of the Chamber of Advisors, which is controlled by the opposition that impedes basic laws necessary to implement the spending.
Yoshihisa Inoue, "said the second man in the Komeito party's second-largest Japanese opposition parties that the party could not agree to pass legislation to reform tax or a bill to issue bonds to cover the deficit, which are used to fund programs related to infrastructure.
And without the approval of the draft law of government bonds will not be able to sell new bonds represent about 41 percent of its revenues planned in the 2012/2011 budget.
Inoue, "said secretary general of the Komeito party, told reporters," We criticize the budget proposal because it does not specify a path for financial reform. "
"It is natural that we can not approve the bill allows the government to issue bonds to cover the deficit under this proposal."
He also said the LDP's largest opposition party said it would be difficult for him to support draft laws to implement the budget.
The opposition parties stepped up its offensive in the time that popularity has plummeted because of the prime minister believes his lack of leadership as well as to the indictment of an influential mediator in the ruling party political funding scandal.
The immediate challenge in front of Japanese Prime Minister is the approval of legislation on the budget in parliament but the opposition have also cast doubt on the approval of draft laws on tax reform and the reform of the social welfare system, which was seeking to hold multi-party talk about it.
And approval of draft laws to implement the budget for 2011/2012 to be the prime minister to mobilize a simple majority in the House of Councilors, or the help of the opposition to mobilize two-thirds majority in the House of Representatives to override the upper house.
It is not likely to muster a majority in the House of Councillors Therefore the choice available to the prime minister is to communicate with his former ally in the coalition, the SPD, but the small party insists on the demands on security issues are in dispute with the ruling party

Euro falls after ECB comments

Seemed to euro on the defensive on Friday after Hun Jean Claude Trichet, president of the European Central Bank recently raised forecasts on interest rates, which violates the assumptions of those who expect a newly tougher on inflation. And depends on whether the euro will continue to decline from its peak at the highest level in 12 weeks on the U.S. jobs data due out on Friday. The descent of the euro on the level of support between 1.3535 and 1.3570 dollars that threatens to further losses.
The euro was trading at 1.3625 dollars after falling 1.2 percent on Thursday, further away from its peak in 12 weeks, amounting to U.S. $ 1.3862 recorded on Wednesday.
Recovered and the dollar index, which measures its value against a basket of currencies heavily on Thursday, but was little changed on Friday at 77.74.
As there has been little change in the dollar against the yen 81.61 yen shone

Gold falls ahead of U.S. wage data

Gold fell slightly on Friday after rising more than one percent on Thursday, with investors away from the market ahead of the wage data in non-agricultural sectors in the United States in January, which may limit the appeal of the precious metal. And most indicators suggest a revival in the U.S. economy with higher growth of services sector to its highest level in more than five years, while inflation pressures seem under control, even despite the rise in commodity prices.
By the time 0638 GMT, gold fell to U.S. $ 1351.05 an ounce (ounce), but remained on his way towards the largest weekly gain since early January.
Prices rose on Thursday after the unrest in Egypt to the growing purchases of exchange-traded funds and the demand for the precious metal as a safe haven.
The Gold hit a record high near U.S. $ 1 430 an ounce in December.
Said a senior U.S. official who asked not to be named, said Washington was discussing with the Egyptians, different scenarios, including one serving the resignation of President Hosni Mubarak on the spot. But Mubarak said he believed that his country still needs him.
Silver fell in online transactions up 14 cents at 28.77 dollars a troy ounce.
Palladium also fell 50 cents to 816.72 dollars an ounce, while platinum rose three dollars to 1837.99 dollars an ounce

Forex Market pending the outcome of the report of the Employment Non-Farm

The euro was down from the highest levels recorded by the recent positive comments after the European Central Bank and the strength of U.S. employment data in the private sector. If the U.S. economic data released yesterday bear any indication of the U.S. employment report today, the Dollar continues to rise.

Economic Analysis

USD USD

- Conflict of movement of the dollar after strong U.S. data
The U.S. dollar has not seen a clear trend in the market in the wake of U.S. economic data that came better than expected. The meeting was packed with U.S. economic data positive U.S., where rates fell complaints from unemployment to 415 thousand of 457 thousand that it was the previous week. The expectations of analysts point to read the 420 thousand. The index of purchasing managers in the industrial sector more powerful high expectations to 59.4 versus 57.4 reading. It is worth noting that any reading above the 50 level for this indicator represents a high rate of economic growth in the country. The U.S. factory orders rose unexpectedly by 0.2%, while it was forecast to decline by 0.2%. This has teamed up with good data from the U.S. European Central Bank's decision on interest rates make a currency U.S. dollar mixed in the movement against the major currencies. And met with the euro, the greenback is stronger gains in this new year. The EUR / USD trading at 1.3625 from 1.3797 level. The GBP / USD trading at low levels, but not before approaching this pair from the highest level in 3 months at a level of 1.6277, the pair closed at 1.6140, while the opening price at 1.6184. The dollar was trading AUD / USD at high levels, rising to 1.0170 from 1.0103 level. And will shift market focus now to the report Non-Farm Employment of Farm which is one of the most important economic data published in this market at all, which is to be announced today at 13:30 GMT. It is expected by economists to increase the number of U.S. jobs increased by 138 thousand a new job in January, while the unemployment rate expected to rise to 9.5% from 9.5%. The strength of the U.S. employment data on the impact on the dollar and the Fed look to economic development. If the data came in Non-Farm Payrolls results better than expected, it starts with the Fed in return for monetary policy is soft, which means that there will be the possibility of raising interest rates, which is positive for the dollar. Comes first support level for the EUR / USD at 1.3570 followed by 1.3500. While resistance is now at its highest level this week at 1.3860.

EUR EUR

- Decline of the euro after Trichet's comments
ECB keep interest rate unchanged earlier today and when the level of 1.0%, and displays the euro for the operations of the sell-off after this resolution, but he appeared to rebound to the top once again during the period of questions and answers at the press conference conducted by the Central Bank President Trichet . During the press conference, Trichet said, told reporters that the risks facing the economic outlook of inflation is still in the downward direction, but the outlook in the medium term refers to the balance of inflation has tended to rise. The increased intensity of selling the euro after Trichet said that interest rates are still at an appropriate level and that recent data has not changed the assessment of the European Central Bank. The euro was up for sale on all sectors yesterday, as EUR / USD dropped to its lowest level at 1.3608 before bouncing back to 1.3625 level. And the pair opened at 1.3795. The EUR / CHF 1.2887 level sharply to the level of 1.2971. With the decline in expectations of traders probability of higher interest rates in the euro area in the future, the value of the euro will decline more. But he at the same time can not be said that expectations of higher European interest rates have disappeared. And thus may result in the next meeting of the European Central Bank hikes for the euro.

Japanese Yen JPY

- The continued strength of the Japanese yen
The Japanese Yen saw a rise in volatility yesterday, strongly influenced by U.S. economic data and the decision of the European Central Bank on interest rates. The close pair is trading near the opening price. The U.S. dollar / Japanese yen, its highest in the day at 82.05 before the end of the day shut down slightly at 81.55. The pair began trading yesterday at 81.63. The increased strength of the dollar and the yen fell because of U.S. employment data and the U.S. service sector data that was better than expected results. With the approaching end of the day, the pair failed gains in resilience. There was a similar situation to that after reducing the credit rating of Japan last week. Not threaten the inability of the dollar / yen to achieve new heights well for the pair and make it tend to trend downward. The support is for the pair at the level of 81.30, followed by the lowest level was recorded in December at 80.90. And resistance is at 82.05, the highest level on record yesterday, followed by the 83.20 level, which had been struck on Jan. 27.

Crude Oil Crude Oil

- Crude Oil Rises on positive employment data
Crude oil prices fell yesterday after the immediate rise of the dollar. Continues to focus traders to prompt economic data and political events in the Middle East. The Close the spot price of crude oil trading at 90.75, after opening at 91.34 dollars. Item and recorded its lowest level at 90 dollars, but managed to keep it as support. The reason was the willingness of traders to sell this commodity is the strength of U.S. employment data on what is expected and improved results for factory orders is also expected. This in turn has helped the rise of the dollar, making the crude oil with a higher cost for those who hold non-dollar currencies. Oil prices have been subjected to fluctuations in the movement are higher than normal volatility as a result of chaos in Egypt, where rising oil prices as a result of these events, including approximately $ 8. However, the spot price of oil failed to rise above the highest level of unprecedented at 93.00 dollars. Today will be affected by crude oil prices the report of the Employment Non-farm, which, if the outcome was better than expected, it provides a reason for traders to reverse the decline in the price at which witnessed yesterday. The support is for the price of oil at $ 90.00 immediately, followed by the level of 87.00 dollars, while resistance is at the level of $ 93.

Technical Analysis

EUR / USD EUR / USD
After two days of decline of the euro / dollar pair has found support at the bullish support line, which is located on the lower levels of January. This may be an opportunity to go long on this pair with a first target at 1.3860, which represents the highest level he had set this week.

GBP / USD GBP / USD
The pair is testing at the current level of resistance at 1.63, a price that we saw last time in November. The break of this level opens the way to test the highest level he had set the pair in 2010 at 1.6460.

USD / JPY USD / JPY
Warn of the inability of the dollar / yen to achieve new heights well for the pair and make it tend to trend downward. The support is for the pair at the level of 81.30, followed by the lowest level was recorded in December at 80.90. And resistance is at 82.05, the highest level on record yesterday, followed by the 83.20 level, which had been struck on Jan. 27.

USD / CHF USD / CHF
The pair states slope downward trend line, which starts from the highest levels in May. And return the price to this line, which makes it possible to go short with a minimum price target at 0.9300.

Crude Oil Crude Oil
After the rise in oil prices by nearly $ 8, the model of science bullish on the daily chart. This indicates that the form on the forex traders can target level of $ 98.40 if the price broke through the upper level

Decline in the number of companies that went bankrupt in the UK in the fourth quarter

Official data showed on Friday that the number of companies that are forced to liquidate in England and Wales fell to its lowest level in two and a half in the last three months of 2010. 3955 was the liquidation of a company in the period from October to December, according to seasonally adjusted data, the lowest level since the second quarter of 2008 and down 11.3 percent from the same period last year.
Kevin Booth said of the Barclays companies have benefited from reduced dependence on borrowing. "We expect the continued decline in the bankruptcy of British companies in 2011."
But he said that it is difficult to predict out of bankruptcy in 2012, as can be adversely affected many companies to cut public spending and the weakness of consumer demand in 2011.
And personal bankruptcies reached their highest levels ever to reach 135 089 cases in 2010, although she had been on a downward trend since the second quarter of the year. The number of cases of personal bankruptcy in the last quarter of the year 30 729 case, the lowest level since the first quarter of 2009 and down 13.6 percent from the same period last year

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